{"id":6260,"date":"2022-06-29T17:17:45","date_gmt":"2021-10-29T10:17:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceco.vn\/nhu-cau-phan-bon-toan-cau-nhung-thach-thuc-truoc-mat-va-trien-vong-dai-han\/"},"modified":"2022-06-29T17:17:45","modified_gmt":"2021-10-29T10:17:45","slug":"nhu-cau-phan-bon-toan-cau-nhung-thach-thuc-truoc-mat-va-trien-vong-dai-han","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/nhu-cau-phan-bon-toan-cau-nhung-thach-thuc-truoc-mat-va-trien-vong-dai-han\/","title":{"rendered":"Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u – Nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 2008-2009, nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2000. Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2000 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 140 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2018 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n 200 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n.
Nh\u01b0ng nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 200 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. C\u00f3 hai nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u00ednh d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 di\u1ec7n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ea5t canh t\u00e1c t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 n\u0103m 2019 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc do th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u1ea9m \u01b0\u1edbt, v\u00ec v\u1eady l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u0169ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m. Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfm t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng l\u1edbn trong nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, tuy nhi\u00ean t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m. Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u0103m 2018 \u0111\u1ea1t 200 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 30% nhu c\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2024 nhu c\u1ea7u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n g\u1ea7n 25% nhu c\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n gi\u1ea3m, quy m\u00f4 n\u00f4ng tr\u1ea1i v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c b\u00f3n ph\u00e2n c\u0169ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n

B\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m 2020, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n l\u1edbn tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u<\/span><\/p>\n

Trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111e d\u1ecda tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd k\u00e9o theo s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a C\u00f4ng ty CRU cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 trong nh\u1eefng qu\u00fd cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 50%. \u0110\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2008-2009 \u0111\u00e3 k\u00e9o nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n

Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c tranh ch\u1ea5p n\u00e0y l\u00e0 n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn cho nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u1ee7a Braxin t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. Do Trung Qu\u1ed1c quay sang mua nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh h\u01a1n t\u1eeb Braxin, nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh Braxin tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng cao. Di\u1ec7n t\u00edch tr\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a Braxin \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi x\u1ea3y ra chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung th\u00ec nay l\u1ea1i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng. Do \u0111\u00f3, sang n\u0103m 2020 nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u1ee7a Braxin \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 5 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 30 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. N\u0103m 2010, con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 15 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19. B\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 V\u0169 H\u00e1n, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, d\u1ecbch COVID-19 \u0111\u00e3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng l\u00e2y lan ra kh\u1eafp to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng cho t\u00ednh m\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa v\u00e0 gi\u00e3n c\u00e1ch x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, khi\u1ebfn cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n

\u1ea2nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch COVID-19<\/span><\/p>\n

Khi d\u1ecbch COVID-19 lan ra kh\u1eafp th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eb7p nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn do nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf. Theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WB) ng\u00e0y 8-6-2020, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd suy gi\u1ea3m nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5,2% trong n\u0103m nay do t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch Covid-19 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf nh\u1eb1m ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 l\u00e2y lan c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. \u00d0i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai \u0111\u1ebfn nay. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a WB c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 7% trong n\u0103m 2020 do cung c\u1ea7u, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh trong n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1ecb ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i (EMDE) d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 2,5% trong n\u0103m nay. \u00d0\u00e2y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y trong v\u00f2ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 60 n\u0103m qua. Thu nh\u1eadp b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 3,6% v\u00e0 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn t\u1eeb 70 \u0111\u1ebfn 100 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng ngh\u00e8o \u0111\u00f3i c\u00f9ng c\u1ef1c trong n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft, nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t v\u1eabn l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 b\u1edfi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng phong t\u1ecfa, khi\u1ebfn cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n b\u1ecb c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn t\u1ea1i t\u1ec9nh H\u1ed3 B\u1eafc \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda trong th\u1eddi gian d\u1ecbch. V\u00ec v\u1eady, t\u1eeb ch\u1ed7 l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u DAP l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u r\u00f2ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch COVID-19 do s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a nhu c\u1ea7u nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00f4 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng cho s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t etanol.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ph\u00f2ng ch\u1ed1ng virut corona \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, khi\u1ebfn cho n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i v\u1ea5t v\u1ea3 x\u1eed l\u00fd l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng t\u1ed3n kho t\u0103ng cao v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u, v\u00ec v\u1eady s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a 2020-2021 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m. \u0110\u01a1n \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n cho v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a thu d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh do ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u1ec1 thu nh\u1eadp, di\u1ec7n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ea5t gieo tr\u1ed3ng cho v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m. Nh\u00ecn chung, gi\u00e1 n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m nhanh h\u01a1n gi\u00e1 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t t\u1ed5ng c\u00f4\u0323ng t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u 1,37 t\u1ec9 USD thu nh\u1eadp t\u1eeb ng\u00f4 do nhu c\u1ea7u ng\u00f4 c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t etanol t\u1ee5t d\u1ed1c m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Theo B\u1ed9 N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng etanol th\u00e1ng 4 t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m nay trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhu c\u1ea7u suy y\u1ebfu v\u00ec c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111i l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Nhu c\u1ea7u etanol \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong th\u00e1ng 5, gi\u00e1 ng\u00f4 v\u00ec v\u1eady c\u0169ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong v\u00f2ng 4 n\u0103m. Nh\u01b0ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu nhi\u1ec1u thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong v\u00f2ng 33 n\u0103m qua, v\u00ec v\u1eady di\u1ec7n t\u00edch gieo tr\u1ed3ng ng\u00f4 trong c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a t\u1edbi s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 3, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd g\u00f3i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u01a1n 30 t\u1ec9 USD cho n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n M\u1ef9, m\u1ed9t g\u00f3i b\u1ed5 sung kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb 66 t\u1ec9 USD \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i xem x\u00e9t. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m chi ti\u00eau mua ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n s\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, do c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng cao \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c. C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00ec v\u1eady d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3, thay cho vi\u1ec7c mua ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n m\u1edbi cho v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3, n\u00ean n\u1ebfu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a d\u1ecbch COVID-19 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i sang n\u0103m t\u1edbi, nhi\u1ec1u n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng di\u1ec7n t\u00edch c\u00e1c c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u00edt ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n h\u01a1n, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nay \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1m t\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111ang t\u0103ng. Trong khi doanh s\u1ed1 DAP v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n kali 10 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 gi\u1ea3m th\u00ec doanh s\u1ed1 ur\u00ea l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng 12% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u1ee3p l\u00fd h\u00f3a s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t trong ng\u00e0nh ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng n\u0103m qua. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t m\u01b0a cu\u1ed1i m\u00f9a c\u0169ng t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i h\u01a1n cho v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n ur\u00ea c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 trung h\u1ea1n, nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1eb9. T\u1ed5ng nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2024 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 200 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, trong \u0111\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1m t\u0103ng 1,2%\/n\u0103m, ph\u00e2n l\u00e2n t\u0103ng 1,7%\/n\u0103m v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n kali t\u0103ng 1,8%\/n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u Phi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 5,5%\/n\u0103m. Nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhu c\u1ea7u cao l\u00e0 Nam M\u1ef9 (3,8%\/n\u0103m) v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 (3,2%\/n\u0103m).<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf Nam M\u1ef9. Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n n\u0103m 2024 t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam 5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2019.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Tuy nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n d\u00f9ng cho c\u00e2y ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0ng b\u00f9 l\u1ea1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng cho rau xanh v\u00e0 c\u00e2y \u0103n qu\u1ea3 \u0111ang t\u0103ng. Nh\u00ecn chung, nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1m v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n l\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0ng nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n kali s\u1ebd t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2018, nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1m t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea1t 25 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n l\u00e2n kho\u1ea3ng 10 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. Nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ea3 hai lo\u1ea1i ch\u1ea5t dinh d\u01b0\u1ee1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi, trong khi \u0111\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n kali s\u1ebd t\u0103ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2024 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t tr\u00ean 10 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (2024-2042), c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c. V\u00ec v\u1eady, ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n t\u1ea1i B\u1eafc M\u1ef9, T\u00e2y \u00c2u v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u1edf c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u, Nam M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u Phi.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng s\u1ebd thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 B\u1eafc M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00e2u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m: th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 16% n\u0103m 2000 xu\u1ed1ng 10% trong n\u0103m 2040, th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00e2u gi\u1ea3m t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng t\u1eeb 17% xu\u1ed1ng 12%. Nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 Nam M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng: th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Nam M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 7% n\u0103m 2000 l\u00ean 16% n\u0103m 2040, th\u1ecb ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u Phi t\u0103ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng t\u1eeb 3% l\u00ean 7%.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p H\u00f3a ch\u1ea5t s\u1ed1 11\/2020<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 2008-2009, nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2000. Nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u0103m 2000 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 140 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2018 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3021,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc","category-tin-tuc-nganh"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6260"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6260\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}