{"id":5826,"date":"2021-04-10T17:17:45","date_gmt":"2023-01-18T10:17:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceco.vn\/tong-quan-tinh-hinh-kinh-te-trong-nuoc-va-the-gioi-8-thang-qua\/"},"modified":"2021-04-10T17:17:45","modified_gmt":"2023-01-18T10:17:45","slug":"tong-quan-tinh-hinh-kinh-te-trong-nuoc-va-the-gioi-8-thang-qua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/tong-quan-tinh-hinh-kinh-te-trong-nuoc-va-the-gioi-8-thang-qua\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ed5ng quan t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi 8 th\u00e1ng qua"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

1.\u00a0<\/strong>Kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p: Kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9, ASEAN-5 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong l\u00fac n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

– Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u suy gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh 2008: d\u1ea7u WTI xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 38USD\/th\u00f9ng ng\u00e0y 24\/8, d\u1ea7u Brent l\u00e0 42USD\/th\u00f9ng. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn cung v\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ea7u kho\u1ea3ng h\u01a1n 1,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y. Ng\u00e0y 28\/8, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 10% trong v\u00f2ng 1 ng\u00e0y l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 42USD\/th\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u WTI v\u00e0 47USD\/th\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u Brent.<\/p>\n

– Vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc (Ringgit c\u1ee7a Malaysia; \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ee7a Australia v\u00e0 New Zealand; Won H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, baht Th\u00e1i Lan, \u0111\u1ed3ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u2026) Tuy nhi\u00ean m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD th\u00e1ng 7\/2015 nh\u01b0 Euro v\u00e0 y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n kh\u00e1c do th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn sau s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n NHTW Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh sang l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 USD<\/p>\n

– TTCK Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m (t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 27\/8\/2015, so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7\/2015 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3m 19,32%).<\/p>\n

2. Kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 th\u00e1ng 8\/2015 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u1edf h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1, C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3:<\/p>\n

– Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p 8 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2015 t\u0103ng 9,9% (c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2014 t\u0103ng 6,3%).<\/p>\n

– Nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u0103ng cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2011 t\u1edbi nay: 8 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m t\u0103ng 16% so c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 2014, trong khi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u0103ng th\u1ea5p (ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng 9% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 2014); nh\u1eadp si\u00eau \u01b0\u1edbc kho\u1ea3ng 3,3 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n

– Trong 8 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2015, thu h\u00fat v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n FDI \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011-2015 (t\u0103ng l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 30,4% v\u00e0 7,6% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2014). V\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u1eeb ngu\u1ed3n ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ea1t kh\u00e1, \u1edf m\u1ee9c 132 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, b\u1eb1ng 64,3% k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch n\u0103m v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 3,4% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2014.<\/p>\n

– CPI th\u00e1ng 8\/2015 gi\u1ea3m 0,07% so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u0103ng 0,61% so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u00e1ng 12\/2014, t\u00ednh chung 8 th\u00e1ng CPI \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 0,83% so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2014.<\/p>\n

– T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 VND\/USD\u00a0<\/strong>trong th\u00e1ng 8\/2015 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c NHNN \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh, t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00eam 1% t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 tham chi\u1ebfu, n\u00e2ng bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 giao d\u1ecbch l\u00ean 3%, nh\u01b0 v\u1eady \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ph\u00e1 gi\u00e1 2% t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2015. Tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 8\/2015, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n 22,800VND\/USD, t\u1ea1o s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u00ean ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch duy tr\u00ec t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a NHNN.<\/p>\n

– C\u00f9ng chung xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi TTCK th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, TTCK Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong th\u00e1ng 8. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 28\/8\/2015, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 VN-Index \u0111\u1ea1t 568,14 \u0111i\u1ec3m, gi\u1ea3m 8,5% so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 11,5% so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2014. M\u1ee9c v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y 24\/8 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 1.151 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, gi\u1ea3m 14% so v\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 29,2% GDP n\u0103m 2014.<\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0: \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi; nh\u1eadp si\u00eau t\u0103ng; B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a kinh t\u1ebf t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c (gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 NDT, h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c, b\u01a1m ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh,…) c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p theo t\u01b0 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

1.\u00a0Kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. – Kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p: Kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9, ASEAN-5 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong l\u00fac n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1edbi kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. – Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u suy gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh 2008: d\u1ea7u WTI […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3021,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tong-hop","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceco.com.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}